
CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION
it, their relationships, and even ill-defined concepts such as styles, moods, and emotions.
They can thus serve as an extension of human creativity.
Indeed, LLMs and image models are already useful in this role of enhancing human
creativity. Experts can use them as a tool that makes them more productive. In an
interactive setup, the expert can describe what s/he wants, and the AI will generate
alternative solutions, be it illustrations, diagrams, memos, lyrics, art, stories, translations,
music, code for algorithms, code for interfaces, etc. The human can then refine these
solutions until they solve the problem. The process can thus be more comprehensive,
efficient, and creative than without such tools. However, what really made AI break out
from the lab to the mainstream is that these tools are also useful for non-experts. A much
larger segment of the population can now create art, text, and code at will, and be effective
and proficient in it, the way they never could before. For instance, I can write an outline of
a story, and use AI to realize it in a particular style, and another AI to provide illustrations
for itÐeven if I’m not a skilled artist or a writer. Similarly, I can describe an idea for a
method to extract knowledge from a dataset, and then use AI to implement the method in
e.g. Python. If the database has an esoteric API, I can have AI read the documentation
and write the code to get the data through it. I can do this even if I’m not a programmer,
or technical enough to understand the documentation.
The third area of AI that has recently emerged from the lab and is changing the world
is decision-makingÐin behavior, design, and strategy. That is, we have autonomous
agents that behave intelligently, for instance drive a car in open-ended traffic conditions, or
control non-player characters in video games. Using AI, we can design a better shape for
a train’s nose cone, or molecules that detect pathogens more accurately or treat diseases
more effectively. Based on datasets in healthcare, business, and science, AI can be used
to recommend more effective treatments, marketing campaigns, and strategies to reduce
global warming. This kind of AI differs from the first two in that it is not based on learning
and utilizing patterns from large datasets of existing solutions. Gradient descent cannot be
used because the desired behaviors are not knownÐhence there are no targets from which
to backpropagate. Instead, decision-making AI is based on searchÐtrying out solutions
and evaluating how well they work, and then improving them. The most important aspect
of such methods is to be able to explore and extrapolate, i.e. to discover solutions that are
novel and unlikely to be developed otherwise.
Like the other two methods, decision-making AI benefits massively from scale. There
are two aspects to it. First, scaling up to large search spaces means that more novel,
different, and surprising solutions can be created. A powerful way to do this scale-up is
to code the solutions as neural networks. Second, scaling up the number of evaluations
means that more of the search space can be explored, making their discovery more likely.
This scale-up is possible through high-fidelity simulations and surrogate models (i.e.
predictive machine learning models). Like LLMs and image models, these technologies
have existed for a long timeÐand the massive increases in computational power are now
ready to make them practical, and take them from the laboratory to the real world. Thus,
decision-making AI is likely to be the third component of the AI revolution and one that is
emerging right now.
The technologies enabling it are different from LLMs and image models (although
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